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DFS Three And Out 2016 week 10

By Bob Harris

Three DFS players I'm investing heavily in for tournament (GPP) play this week. ... And one I'm not.

I'm in:

Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans
The Packers limp into Sunday's game in Nashville -- thanks to a number of injuries – and with two straight losses. Adding to their woes, they’re getting Mariota in the midst of a breakout stretch. In the last three games, Mariota has completed 65 percent of his passes, recorded seven touchdown passes, two interceptions and compiled a passer rating of 104.8. He's thrown multiple TDs in seven of nine games this season (he has four 2-TD games and three 3-TD games). What's more, Mariota is a dual threat because of his ability to pull down the football and take off running. He's added another two TDs on the ground (giving him two 4-TD games overall). As a result, Mariota ranks fifth among all fantasy QBs on our Player Performance Rankings heading into the weekend. The Packers are giving up better than 23 points per game while the Titans have scored at least 34 in each of their last three outings. If those numbers aren't awesome enough for you, these should be: 13 QBs will cost you more than Mariota's $7,400 on FanDuel and 15 (including Colin Kaepernick) are more expensive on DraftKings than his $5,700. Feel free to stack him with Rishard Matthews ($4,200 on DraftKings, $5,800 on FanDuel), who has five touchdowns in the last five games, or (the pricier) Delanie Walker ($4,600 on DraftKings, $6,200 on FanDuel) and root for one of those shootouts we all love so much.

Alshon Jeffery, WR, Chicago Bears
As ESPN.com's Jenna Laine pointed out this week, Jay Cutler targeted Jeffery eight times in Week 8; a good sign that the Bears want to get their top playmaker more involved. Lane went on to suggest that Jeffery has not been utilized properly in 2016. He is way too talented to have only one touchdown reception. Jeffery does have 36 receptions for 583 yards, but he’s capable of so much more. "If Jeffery isn’t targeted 10 times at Raymond James Stadium, there should be a criminal investigation," Lane added. I agree. The matchup is just too inviting with the Buccaneers ranking 30th in the NFL against the pass over the last four weeks and giving up more touchdowns and allowing more fantasy points against by wide receivers than all but two teams per category this season. In addition, Cutler played well in his return against Minnesota after returning from an extended absence, completing 20-of-31 pass attempts for 252 yards and one touchdown (100.5 passer rating). Jeffery ($6,600 on DraftKings, $7,200 on FanDuel) comes in at the lower end of the WR1 range price-wise, so expect him pay you back nicely in this one.

David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals
Where's my chalk? Oh. Here it is. ... As the Sports Xchange put it, "See David run. See David run left. See David run right. See David run up the middle. Now rinse and repeat." Given that the Cardinals will be facing one of the worst NFL run defenses in the history of the NFL -- a 49ers team that is allowing a remarkably generous 193 rushing yards per game -- it might be impossible for head coach Bruce Arians not to feed his second-year ball carrier snap after snap after snap after snap. Remember: Johnson exploited that same San Francisco defense to the tune of a season-high 157 yards in early October. Why not do it again going up against the first team in NFL history to allow a 100-yard rusher in seven consecutive games. Hell, they've allowed 240 or more total rushing yards in their last three games alone. Overall, no team has allowed more rushing attempts, more yards per game, more touchdowns or fantasy points against to opposing running backs than the San Francisco 49ers. So yes, Johnson ($8,400 on DraftKings, $9,400 on FanDuel) is the most expensive back on the board. And yes, he'll be heavily owned. And yes, I will be leading the way.

I'm Out

Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars
Yeah. Garbage time is definitely a thing and the Jaguars have become masters of late-game production while playing from behind. Still, Robinson hasn't been anywhere near the player he was in 2015 when he finished with 80 receptions for 1,400 yards and 14 touchdowns. At the halfway point this year, the third-year veteran is on pace for another 80-catch season, but the yardage total (442) is well off last year's pace as are the touchdowns (4). Robinson ($7,000 on DraftKings, $7,000 on FanDuel) has shown some signs of getting on track. His seven catches against Kansas City matched his season best and his 76 receiving yards was his best this year. But he had nine games last year in which he had at least 80 yards in receptions and he has yet to hit that total once in his first eight games. Robinson has had too many drops this year and quarterback Blake Bortles has not delivered the ball to him nearly as efficiently as he did a year ago. Meanwhile, he goes up against a Houston defense that has given up the third fewest fantasy point to wideouts this season -- and the fewest over the last four weeks. In addition, Robinson will be going up against Texans CB A.J. Bouye, who grades out third among cornerbacks overall and second in pass coverage by Profootballfocus.com. By the way, that $7,000 on DraftKings is more thank Brandin Cooks, Brandon Marshall, Emmanuel Sanders, Kelvin Benjamin, Demaryius Thomas and my guy Jeffery (not to mention Green Bay wideouts Ty Montgomery, Randall Cobb and Davante Adams).