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DFS Three And Out 2022 Super-Wildcard Weekend week 19
It's Super-Wildcard Weekend and the player pool is shallower for the obvious reasons. But, depending on the contests you choose, there's a little something for everybody. And one something that's not for me. It's the DFS Tournament Three and Out. Let's roll!
I'm In
Brock Purdy, QB, San Francisco 49ers ($5,300 on DraftKings; $7,100 on FanDuel)
This just in: Purdy has been very good since taking over at quarterback for an injured Jimmy Garoppolo in the Week 13 win over the Dolphins. In fact, the rookie led the league with a 112.0 passer rating over the last six weeks of the season. He completed 68.3 percent of his passes for 1,308 yards with 13 touchdowns, just three interceptions and no fumbles. He also had a rushing touchdown/ Overall, Purdy has a 107.3 passer rating, which ranks No. 1 among the 49ers starting quarterbacks this season. Garoppolo compiled a 103.0 passer rating while Trey Lance was at 55.0 through just over a game. Purdy and the 49ers will take on the Seahawks in the opening game of the 2022 postseason on Saturday. According to FantasyPros' Derek Brown, Seattle is a perfect matchup for Purdy to shred. They are ranked 20th in yards per attempt, 29th in YAC, and 25th in missed tackles allowed. Just as important as the matchup is the supporting cast. As Brown put it, "Purdy can play point guard and let his receivers pile up the fantasy points." Those receivers include running back running back Christian McCaffrey (three touchdown catches with Purdy under center) and tight end George Kittle (seven touchdown catches over the last four games), both of whom are on serious hot streaks. Weather could be an issue here and, if you're not playing the Saturday games, ESPN's Al Zeidenfeld notes that Daniel Jones ($5,600 on DraftKings; $7,400 on FanDuel) has the highest rushing floor of any QB not named Josh Allen on this week's slate. He's also in a good spot going up against the Vikings. Jones, who has had either double-digit rushing attempts or 35 passing attempts in six of his last seven games, threw for 334 yards on 30-of-42 passing and a touchdown and added 34 rushing yards on four carries against Minnesota in Week 16.
K.J. Osborn, WR, Minnesota Vikings ($4,600 on DraftKings; $6,100 on FanDuel)
Although Osborn had a slow start this season with just 262 receiving yards and two touchdowns in the first 13 weeks, Yahoo's Matt Anderson points out the Vikings WR3 has been taking advantage of his recent opportunities. With opponents focused on stopping Justin Jefferson, it's opened up opportunities for players like Osborn, Adam Thielen and T.J. Hockenson. Osborn is the cheapest of those options, but he hasn't been the least productive. Since Week 14, Osborn has 388 receiving yards and three touchdowns in just five games, which more than doubled his earlier season output. Since Week 15, he has had five red-zone targets, a 20 percent target share and 21 percent air yard share. Assuming the Giants will do what everybody else does and try to limit Jefferson, Osborn will continue to get those opportunities. Need to go even cheaper? Zeidenfeld reminded his readers that Giants wideout Richie James ($3,900 on DraftKings; $6,100 on FanDuel) had eight catches on 12 targets for 90 yards against the Vikings in Week 16.
Hayden Hurst, TE, Cincinnati Bengals ($3,100 on DraftKings; $5,100 on FanDuel)
Nothing like a revenge game, eh? Hurst was a first-round draft pick of the Ravens in 2018 and spent the 2018-19 seasons with Baltimore. Okay, not everybody (including me) is into the revenge narrative and Hurst wasn't all that impressive last week. But Zeidenfeld points out in his two games against Baltimore, Hurst has run a total of 60 routes with five red-zone targets. In his 11 games against all other opponents this season, he ran a total of 293 routes and saw only four red-zone targets. If all of this seem like a bit of a reach, it kind of is. But on a weekend in which Evan Engram, Mark Andrews, T.J. Hockenson and Dawson Knox will be way higher on the radar (and almost certainly higher in ownership percentage), you could do worse than a cheap outlier with at least some statistical data in his favor.
I'm Out
Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs ($7,900 on DraftKings; $8,500 on FanDuel)
If you're thinking Hill has the ability to explode any given week, you're right. Just ask the Bills. Remember, it was Hill who essentially ended Buffalo's hope of a win over the Chiefs in regulation during last season's thrilling AFC Divisional matchup. His 64-yard catch-and-run touchdown gave Kansas City the lead in the final minute of regulation. The Bills snagged the lead back before the game eventually went to overtime, but Buffalo would've advanced to the AFC Championship if not for Hill's late-game heroics. He finished that game with 11 catches for 150 yards and a touchdown. But in the pair of meetings with Buffalo this season, he's combined for 11 receptions for 102 yards and a score, as the Bills have prevented him from taking over. Adding to the concern, Skylar Thompson is starting at quarterback for the Dolphins in this one. The rookie QB has appeared in seven games this season. He's attempted 105 passes. He's thrown one touchdown.