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DFS Three And Out 2022 week 3
It's Week 3 and matchups are starting to matter people! I've found three players who should benefit greatly from their team and/or individual matchups on Sunday, and one who won't. It's another ideal DFS Tournament Three and Out setup. Let's go!
I'm In
Kirk Cousins, QB, Minnesota Vikings ($6,400 on DraftKings; $7,600 on FanDuel)
It's been an up and down start for Cousins this season. Part of the blame can go to a tough scheduled. That changes this week. As ESPN's Al Zeidenfeld notes, coming into the season, the Lions were a team that we wanted to attack. That still stands considering there have been 136 total points scored in games involving the Lions in 2022. NBC's Matthew Berry notes the Lions have allowed the sixth-most passing yards so far this season (including a game where Carson Wentz had 337 yards and three passing touchdowns against them) while Zeidenfeld went on to point out that opponents have completed seven deep passes against Detroit this season, going for 212 yards and two touchdowns. In his last eight games against Detroit, Cousins has completed 73.8 percent of his passes for 18 touchdowns with only two interceptions. Plus, he's hit the 300-yard mark or thrown for three-plus TD passes in the majority of those games. Of course, he has as deep a group of talented receiving assets as you'll find going into a plus matchup that might be even easier than usual as the neither of the Lions' top two pass rushers -- Aidan Hutchinson (thigh) and John Cominsky (wrist) -- have practiced this week. The team's leading tackler, safety Tracy Walker joined the pass-rushing duo as practice no-shows on Thursday. Better still, this is not a nationally-televised prime-time game, which has been Cousins' Kryptonite.
Drake London, WR, Atlanta Falcons ($5,200 on DraftKings; $6,000 on FanDuel)
Yes, the Falcons will get Kyle Pitts on track at some point. But until they do, London is the obvious focal point of this offense with 19 targets (he's caught 13 of them), 160 yards and a touchdown through two games. Last week he had a team-high target share of 33 percent. All that prompted ESPN.com's Tristan H. Cockroft to write: "Take the volume, the system and the talent with London versus the Seahawks' defense. ..." As ESPN's Mike Clay noted, the Seahawks haven't faced a ton of pass volume just yet, but Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk all reached 11 fantasy points against them. Clay went on to point out that London outside 86 percent of the time. That will mean a lot of run against fifth-round rookie Tariq Woolen and 2019 fifth-rounder Mike Jackson. With Seattle allowing 15.1 yards per reception to wide receivers through two weeks (fourth-highest), London is set for success, especially if head coach Arthur Smith can scheme him open on the goal line like he did against the Rams last week. Also, the price is definitely right here. London is a fantastic value on both the major sites.
Tyler Higbee, TE, Los Angeles Rams ($4,200 on DraftKings; $5,700 on FanDuel)
Allen who? As Berry wrote, "Remember what we thought Allen Robinson would be in that Rams offense this season?" Well. ... So far, not so much. Instead, the de facto WR2 for the Rams has been Higbee, who has drawn a 26 percent target share through two games with only Cooper Kupp drawing a greater share among all Los Angeles receivers. More specifically, Higbee has played a position-leading 95.3 percent of the Rams' offensive snaps, paces his position with 20 targets, has the second-most red-zone targets (4) and has run 71 routes. Meanwhile, as Cockroft suggested, one might think that with Budda Baker and Thompson at safety, the Cardinals would be in good shape to contain opposing tight ends. Again, so far, not so much. Instead, the Cardinals have allowed the most catches, yards and touchdowns to tight ends through two games. Granted those two tight ends were Travis Kelce and Darren Waller. Still, his usage and the attention Kupp and Robinson draw work in Higbee's favor. While the price is way better on FanDuel this week, Higbee is not cost prohibitive on DraftKings.
I'm Out
Terry McLaurin, WR, Washington Commanders ($6,600 on DraftKings; $6,900 on FanDuel)
Two words: Darius Slay. ... Okay. I have more. But those are definitely the two most important. ... According to Clay, Slay has shadowed McLaurin in all four games since joining the Eagles in 2020. McLaurin's lines in those games were 5-61-0 on seven targets (Week 1, 2020), 7-40-1 on eight targets (Week 17, 2020), 2-51-0 on four targets (Week 15, 2021), 7-61-0 on seven targets (Week 17, 2021). Of course, Washington also has former Giant James Bradberry working opposite Slay and McLaurin has fared well against him. On Monday night, however, we saw Slay effectively shadow Justin Jefferson on his perimeter routes, and we should expect the same treatment of McLaurin (81 percent perimeter) this week. But it's more than just the induvial matchups. More broadly, Philadelphia is allowing the fifth-fewest yards per reception to receivers. Adding to the concern, as Berry pointed out, McLaurin has caught just 50 percent of his targets so far this season.